General

AI 2027: A Concrete Look at Near-Term AI Progress and Its Impact on Humanity

Authors Scott Alexander and Daniel Kokotajlo outline in (somewhat) plain words the potential path of AI progress over the next few years. Two timelines are presented: one where we race forward and one where we decide to slow down. In this piece, I walk you through the highlights and identify practical takeaways (with a few philosophical side quests to think about).